Moore was a co-founder of Intel. He made a prediction which actually came true. As a co-founder of Intel, he knew what he was talking about. In a paper published in 1965, he wrote that “the complexity for minimum component costs has increased at rate of roughly a factor of two per year”. He continued by saying that “this rate can be expected to continue, if not to increase”.
For you and me, this means computers get faster, mobile phones get smaller, computer games become more realistic.
It took a several years and many changes before Moore’s comments were translated into what is known as Moore’s Law. Moore’s Law apples applies to the number of transistors on integrated circuits doubling every two years, resulting in the performance of computing increasing. From the very start, the big question wass how long Moore’s Law would actually apply. Again and again there were predictions that computing would reach the capacity limits. These forecasts have not yet come true. But Intel once again is warning investors that it sees the end of the line for Moore’s Law. Perhaps the best judgement on Moore’s Law was made by Moore himself, as he admitted, “Frankly I didn’t expect to be so precise”.
